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throughline No. 157 August 13, 2026

Federal Regulator Blocks New York From Shutting Down Kalshi Prediction Markets

Federal exclusive jurisdiction under the Commodity Exchange Act versus state consumer-protection and anti-gambling police power, still unresolved in court.

Federal exclusive jurisdiction under the Commodity Exchange Act versus state consumer-protection and anti-gambling police power, still unresolved in court.

On August 11 the CFTC issued an emergency order directing Kalshi to continue exchange functions after New York sought a TRO to halt its event contracts.

Why it matters: Whether event contracts remain available nationwide under uniform federal rules or face state-by-state injunctions that could fragment the market and affect tax revenue and under-21 access.

Date to watch: New York TRO hearing and related motions in the coming weeks as the case proceeds.

Sources:

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